Description: The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-But Some Don't [Hardcover] Silver, Nate NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER The groundbreaking exploration of probability and uncertainty that explains how to make better predictions in a world drowning in data, from the nations foremost political forecaster One of The Wall Street Journals Ten Best Works of Nonfiction of the Year Could turn out to be one of the more momentous books of the decade.The New York Times Book Review Most predictions fail, often at great cost to society, because experts and laypeople mistake more confident predictions for more accurate ones. But overconfidence is often the reason for failure. If our appreciation of uncertainty improves, our predictions can get better too. This is the prediction paradox: The more humility we have about our ability to make predictions, the more successful we can be in planning for the future. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work in sports and politics, Nate Silver examines the world of prediction, investigating how to seek truth from data. In The Signal and the Noise, Silver visits innovative forecasters in a range of areas, from hurricanes to baseball to global pandemics, from the poker table to the stock market, from Capitol Hill to the NBA. He discovers that what the most accurate ones have in common is a superior command of probabilityas well as a healthy dose of humility. With everything from the global economy to the fight against disease hanging on the quality of our predictions, Nate Silvers insights are an essential read. Anthem Books Difference Great quality used items! We aim to exceed expectations on every order with quick shipping and extra attention to quality packaging! Competitive Pricing With our dynamic pricing model, our prices are always competitive. Our prices are some of the lowest that you will find on the internet. Rest assured that you're getting a good deal when purchasing with us. 30-day Money Back Guarantee We are committed to making sure that you leave this transaction satisfied. If you're unhappy with the product for any reason, you may return it back for your money-back or a replacement within 30 days. No questions asked!
Price: 11.03 USD
Location: Phoenix, Arizona
End Time: 2024-11-11T06:56:45.000Z
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Item Specifics
Restocking Fee: No
Return shipping will be paid by: Buyer
All returns accepted: Returns Accepted
Item must be returned within: 30 Days
Refund will be given as: Money Back
Binding: hardcover
Brand: Penguin Press
Unspsc Code: 55101500
Publication Date: 2012T
Supplier Declared Dg Hz Regulation: not_applicable
Edition Number: 1
Item Name: The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-But..
Product Site Launch Date: 2012-03-04T01:21:31.241Z
Pages: 544
Target Audience: General/trade
Item Type Keyword: book
Number Of Items: 1
Color: Yellow
Edition: 1
Street Date: 2012-09-27T00:00:01Z
MPN: 35368503
Style: ABIS_BOOK
Number of Pages: 544 Pages
Publication Name: Signal and the Noise : Why So Many Predictions Fail-But Some Don't
Language: English
Publisher: Penguin Publishing Group
Publication Year: 2012
Subject: Political Process / Campaigns & Elections, Epistemology, Probability & Statistics / General, Future Studies, Forecasting, Probability & Statistics / Bayesian Analysis
Item Height: 1.2 in
Type: Textbook
Item Weight: 28 Oz
Subject Area: Mathematics, Political Science, Philosophy, Social Science, Business & Economics
Item Length: 9.5 in
Author: Nate Silver
Item Width: 6.4 in
Format: Hardcover
